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Red165
78158.8
170026.8
249167.3
Blue153
945088.2
5161.1
665215.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581710100200300400500600165153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points27
44Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +4
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
87Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#6
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
18Foul points18
165Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#25
67.30.1
58.158.3
Auto16.3
Teleop44.0
End7.0
blue by 20.8
9450
#17
88.21.1
84.082.9
Auto19.9
Teleop56.5
End11.8
Second
781
#59
58.80.1
57.257.3
Auto13.2
Teleop43.1
End2.5
blue by 2.3
51
#29
61.11.1
56.455.3
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
Third
1700
#60
26.80.1
29.930.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.1
red by 11.5
6652
#65
15.31.1
11.210.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned