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Red185
150661.8
913447.4
742140.6
Blue167
54043.2
490786.0
347343.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15118950100200250185167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+8Teleop
+16Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
22Coral scored#22
79Coral points79
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
115Total teleop121
Reef
13L4#12
7L3#5
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#36
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points0
185Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#24
61.82.3
59.161.4
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End8.1
blue by 24.2
86.00.6
87.186.5
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
Second
9134
#22
47.42.3
47.249.5
Auto9.7
Teleop33.9
End3.8
red by 3.5
3473
#28
43.90.6
40.640.0
Auto10.4
Teleop29.5
End4.0
Third
7421
#71
40.62.3
36.639.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.7
End3.2
blue by 2.6
540
#50
43.20.6
42.441.8
Auto9.6
Teleop33.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned