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Red152
381428.9
208026.8
632471.8
Blue156
37946.8
176880.3
88857.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12117450100150200250300152156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+14
Endgame+6
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave9
1Coral scored#8
7Coral points38
16Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +17
26Coral scored#24
92Coral points85
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
120Total teleop103
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#12
4L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#36
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points0
152Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#31
71.82.2
68.971.2
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9
blue by 8.5
80.30.1
80.480.5
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
Second
3814
#66
28.92.2
25.327.5
Auto4.3
Teleop21.2
End3.4
blue by 28.8
888
#47
57.70.1
55.055.1
Auto17.2
Teleop39.4
End1.2
Third
2080
#74
26.82.2
17.319.5
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End3.2
red by 20.0
3794
#69
6.80.1
13.313.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed