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Red140
687331.0
115366.5
247041.2
Blue195
7063.4
253973.9
365665.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15823350100200250300140195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+53
Fouls+55
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +44
14Coral scored#25
49Coral points89
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#6
12Processor points24
32Net points24
44Algae points48
93Total teleop137
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#11
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points2
140Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#57
66.51.3
70.068.7
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
blue by 7.4
2539
#19
73.91.7
70.969.2
Auto15.2
Teleop48.6
End10.1
Second
2470
#70
41.21.3
43.742.4
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End3.0
blue by 24.6
3656
#11
65.81.7
63.261.6
Auto12.0
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Third
6873
#67
31.01.3
32.230.9
Auto4.1
Teleop24.1
End2.8
blue by 32.4
70
#40
63.41.7
69.667.9
Auto12.4
Teleop40.6
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned