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Red233
662174.0
857063.9
598763.1
Blue171
8646.4
238358.1
103840.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20912650100150250300233171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+42Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave3
9Coral scored#7
43Coral points34
52Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +27
28Coral scored#28
101Coral points100
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
145Total teleop118
Reef
15L4#9
7L3#8
9L2#10
6L1 · trough#8
46Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
233Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.02.3
69.271.5
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
red by 16.0
2383
#73
58.12.2
54.857.0
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.0
Second
8570
#53
63.92.3
60.863.1
Auto15.5
Teleop36.9
End11.4
red by 17.4
86
#49
46.42.2
44.246.4
Auto9.7
Teleop26.5
End10.2
Third
5987
#14
63.12.3
56.859.1
Auto10.4
Teleop41.4
End11.2
red by 22.6
1038
#42
40.52.2
27.529.7
Auto8.0
Teleop29.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned