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Red224
248548.2
287773.3
397081.7
Blue231
3377.7
276783.0
924571.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200252100150300350224231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
11Coral scored#6
54Coral points30
54Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +39
24Coral scored#28
86Coral points99
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#11
24Processor points30
24Net points44
48Algae points74
134Total teleop173
Reef
13L4#12
13L3#11
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#50
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
224Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#43
81.71.8
77.579.3
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
blue by 1.3
2767
#33
83.00.9
85.284.3
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
Second
2877
#32
73.31.8
69.070.9
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
blue by 4.4
33
#23
77.70.9
81.981.0
Auto14.0
Teleop55.5
End8.2
Third
2485
#52
48.21.8
44.646.5
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End5.1
blue by 23.4
71.60.9
65.664.7
Auto14.5
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned