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Red186
817743.8
763268.6
5161.1
Blue169
573663.2
949678.4
954520.1
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170171100120140160180200220240186169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave0
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points20
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +19
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points73
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#5
18Processor points30
16Net points20
34Algae points50
104Total teleop123
Reef
12L4#7
8L3#9
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
12Foul points0
186Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.4
60.961.3
Auto17.2
Teleop45.0
End6.5
blue by 9.8
78.40.3
79.079.3
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
Second
51
#29
61.10.4
55.355.7
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
blue by 2.1
5736
#56
63.20.3
61.762.0
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
Third
8177
#46
43.80.4
40.240.6
Auto11.4
Teleop23.8
End8.6
red by 23.7
9545
#72
20.10.3
12.312.6
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned