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Red126
1022442.7
319770.3
37946.8
Blue152
519348.4
313055.4
347343.9
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140167100150200250126152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
2Coral scored#8
11Coral points41
20Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points77
5Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
30Processor points6
16Net points12
46Algae points18
100Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#11
3L3#9
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
126Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#44
70.30.2
66.766.9
Auto15.7
Teleop46.4
End8.2
red by 14.9
3130
#13
55.40.5
58.459.0
Auto11.7
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Second
42.70.2
42.342.5
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End4.3
blue by 5.7
5193
#54
48.40.5
44.444.9
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
Third
3794
#69
6.80.2
13.814.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 37.2
3473
#28
43.90.5
41.241.7
Auto10.4
Teleop29.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned