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Red224
176880.3
296052.7
949678.4
Blue256
276783.0
414570.0
333976.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236248150200300350224256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+40
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
11Coral scored#10
55Coral points49
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +20
31Coral scored#32
110Coral points116
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
24Processor points18
12Net points32
36Algae points50
146Total teleop166
Reef
9L4#17
15L3#12
12L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
14Foul points6
224Total score256

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.31.6
79.077.3
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
blue by 2.7
2767
#33
83.00.4
83.383.7
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
Second
78.41.6
79.377.7
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
red by 1.8
76.60.4
75.275.7
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
Third
2960
#20
52.71.6
55.754.1
Auto10.5
Teleop34.9
End7.3
blue by 17.3
4145
#12
70.00.4
66.066.4
Auto18.1
Teleop45.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned