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Red167
381428.9
19571.5
207570.4
Blue178
665215.3
220081.1
238358.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199170100150250300167178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
25Coral scored#19
89Coral points69
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#9
12Processor points24
20Net points36
32Algae points60
121Total teleop129
Reef
11L4#11
9L3#5
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
167Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#39
71.50.5
72.572.1
Auto16.4
Teleop47.0
End8.1
blue by 9.5
81.11.4
83.584.9
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
Second
2075
#10
70.40.5
72.872.4
Auto13.0
Teleop47.5
End9.9
red by 12.3
2383
#73
58.11.4
57.358.7
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.0
Third
3814
#66
28.90.5
28.628.1
Auto4.3
Teleop21.2
End3.4
red by 13.6
6652
#65
15.31.4
10.111.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed