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Red156
687331.0
857063.9
287773.3
Blue192
304570.7
80149.2
150661.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184202100150250300156192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+36
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
29Coral points21
38Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +16
17Coral scored#21
62Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#8
12Processor points12
28Net points32
40Algae points44
102Total teleop118
Reef
8L4#11
5L3#6
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points18
156Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#32
73.31.0
73.872.8
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
red by 2.5
3045
#45
70.71.0
72.271.2
Auto16.0
Teleop47.2
End7.6
Second
8570
#53
63.91.0
64.363.3
Auto15.5
Teleop36.9
End11.4
red by 2.0
1506
#24
61.81.0
62.561.5
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End8.1
Third
6873
#67
31.01.0
29.728.7
Auto4.1
Teleop24.1
End2.8
blue by 18.2
801
#34
49.21.0
50.949.9
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned