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Red212
304570.7
472872.9
397081.7
Blue232
490786.0
632471.8
949678.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230253150200300212232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points48
44Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +2
29Coral scored#30
104Coral points108
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
18Processor points24
32Net points20
50Algae points44
154Total teleop152
Reef
9L4#13
11L3#9
10L2#11
6L1 · trough#7
47Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
212Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#43
81.70.4
82.782.3
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
blue by 4.3
86.00.2
87.186.8
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
Second
72.90.4
73.973.5
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
blue by 5.5
78.40.2
79.579.3
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
Third
3045
#45
70.70.4
71.771.3
Auto16.0
Teleop47.2
End7.6
blue by 1.0
6324
#31
71.80.2
72.972.6
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9