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Red247
276783.0
287773.3
176880.3
Blue230
945088.2
662174.0
253973.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2532490100200300400500600700800247230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave3
10Coral scored#8
52Coral points40
58Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +26
30Coral scored#24
107Coral points85
6Processor algae#4
5Net algae#7
36Processor points24
20Net points28
56Algae points52
163Total teleop137
Reef
19L4#15
10L3#10
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points14
247Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#33
83.00.2
83.383.5
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
blue by 5.2
9450
#17
88.20.5
88.588.0
Auto19.9
Teleop56.5
End11.8
Second
80.30.2
80.680.8
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 6.2
74.00.5
74.473.9
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
Third
2877
#32
73.30.2
73.673.8
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
blue by 0.7
2539
#19
73.90.5
74.373.8
Auto15.2
Teleop48.6
End10.1