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Red234
220081.1
333976.6
115366.5
Blue218
490786.0
632471.8
949678.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248254150200300350234218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
11Coral scored#11
55Coral points55
64Total auto55
TeleoperatedRed +5
27Coral scored#29
96Coral points105
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
24Processor points18
24Net points16
48Algae points34
144Total teleop139
Reef
17L4#17
9L3#13
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points8
234Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.10.1
83.383.4
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
blue by 4.9
86.00.6
86.886.2
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
Second
76.60.1
78.979.0
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
blue by 1.8
78.40.6
79.378.6
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
Third
1153
#57
66.50.1
68.868.8
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
blue by 5.3
6324
#31
71.80.6
72.672.0
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9