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Red223
591431.5
464657.5
170683.4
Blue140
16758.1
331353.1
17122.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19313950100250300223140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+57Teleop
+77Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points35
48Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +53
23Coral scored#16
81Coral points56
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
30Processor points18
32Net points16
62Algae points34
143Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#10
10L3#4
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#30
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +83
6Foul points0
223Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.41.1
82.383.4
Auto21.7
Teleop51.3
End10.4
red by 25.2
167
#2
58.10.2
58.058.1
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
Second
57.51.1
56.457.5
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
red by 4.4
53.10.2
53.053.1
Auto13.7
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Third
5914
#48
31.51.1
30.431.5
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
red by 9.2
171
#31
22.30.2
22.222.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.2
End1.5