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Red207
591431.5
464657.5
170683.4
Blue154
16758.1
331353.1
802424.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190142100250300207154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points44
51Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +23
23Coral scored#22
82Coral points79
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
126Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#12
9L3#9
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#36
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points0
207Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.40.7
81.682.3
Auto21.7
Teleop51.3
End10.4
red by 25.2
167
#2
58.10.4
57.658.0
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
Second
57.50.7
55.756.4
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
red by 4.4
53.10.4
52.653.0
Auto13.7
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Third
5914
#48
31.50.7
29.730.4
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
red by 7.3
8024
#19
24.20.4
23.824.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.9