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Red171
16758.1
331353.1
17122.3
Blue156
957647.4
178533.9
392849.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139141050100200250300350171156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+45Teleop
+33Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave3
12Coral scored#4
58Coral points20
58Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#19
61Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
6Processor points12
32Net points8
38Algae points20
99Total teleop89
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#6
8L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points18
171Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
58.10.9
56.757.6
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
red by 8.7
3928
#11
49.40.2
49.249.4
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
Second
53.10.9
51.752.6
Auto13.7
Teleop32.2
End7.2
red by 5.7
47.40.2
47.247.4
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
Third
171
#31
22.30.9
21.322.2
Auto5.6
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 11.6
1785
#24
33.90.2
33.833.9
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0