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Red142
957647.4
178533.9
392849.4
Blue95
642027.6
283937.0
462444.1
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311710020014295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+39Teleop
+53Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
90Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points6
142Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
49.40.3
49.049.2
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
red by 5.3
4624
#18
44.10.5
44.544.1
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
Second
47.40.3
47.047.2
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
red by 10.4
2839
#14
37.00.5
37.537.0
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Third
1785
#24
33.90.3
33.533.8
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
red by 6.3
6420
#10
27.60.5
28.127.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6