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Red129
1047618.1
642027.6
170683.4
Blue90
426013.3
957922.6
485924.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13553010015020012990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
72Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
24Foul points0
129Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.41.7
68.967.2
Auto21.7
Teleop51.3
End10.4
red by 58.9
4859
#39
24.42.4
21.724.2
Auto4.0
Teleop18.4
End2.0
Second
6420
#10
27.61.9
25.023.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6
red by 5.0
9579
#43
22.62.4
15.718.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Third
18.12.6
18.115.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End-0.1
red by 4.8
4260
#51
13.32.4
16.919.3
Auto1.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed