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Red92
17122.3
64827.1
52547.1
Blue80
178533.9
87669.6
882127.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7866020401001209280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
77Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
92Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#7
47.11.9
35.637.5
Auto8.4
Teleop35.2
End3.6
red by 13.2
1785
#24
33.91.6
20.822.4
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
Second
648
#25
27.11.4
27.228.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End6.5
blue by 0.3
8821
#26
27.42.0
21.723.6
Auto4.0
Teleop22.1
End1.4
Third
171
#31
22.31.9
8.210.1
Auto5.6
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 12.8
8766
#40
9.62.4
15.517.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned