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Qual 32025 Iowa Regional
Red76
402121.1
957015.2
591431.5
Blue113
955132.0
877018.3
331353.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649820408012014016018076113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#17
49Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
63Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
76Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5914
#48
31.50.2
29.1→29.3
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
blue by 21.6
3313
#4
53.11.4
32.9→34.3
Auto13.7
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Second
4021
#44
21.10.2
12.7→12.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.2
blue by 10.9
9551
#29
32.01.0
27.5→28.6
Auto6.3
Teleop23.6
End2.1
Third
9570
#32
15.20.2
11.9→12.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 3.1
8770
#38
18.31.7
17.9→19.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned