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Red88
944520.5
162551.0
906123.6
Blue85
527522.1
645511.1
754143.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76752040601001208885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
58Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
88Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#12
51.01.5
28.830.2
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
red by 7.5
43.51.1
26.727.8
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End8.2
Second
9061
#33
23.61.5
18.419.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 1.5
5275
#37
22.11.1
21.822.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Third
9445
#28
20.50.9
19.320.2
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 9.5
6455
#50
11.11.1
17.618.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned