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Red98
882413.2
753128.1
544239.3
Blue125
909249.7
802424.2
957647.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6811405010015020098125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points22
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +18
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
71Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
2Foul points0
98Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#15
39.31.3
26.928.2
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
blue by 10.4
49.71.5
42.644.1
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
Second
7531
#36
28.12.2
21.924.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End1.5
blue by 19.3
47.41.5
34.035.5
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
Third
8824
#49
13.22.2
16.518.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 11.0
8024
#19
24.21.5
20.421.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned