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Red104
327524.9
784839.7
557614.7
Blue147
1043917.3
464657.5
283937.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58980204080120140160104147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+53
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points36
19Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +36
14Coral scored#21
51Coral points75
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
69Total teleop105
Reef
6L4#14
5L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
104Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7848
#23
39.73.1
29.032.1
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
blue by 17.7
57.54.7
43.648.2
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
Second
3275
#42
24.94.1
22.826.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
blue by 12.1
2839
#14
37.04.2
22.626.8
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Third
5576
#22
14.73.4
6.39.7
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 2.6
17.37.5
17.324.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed