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Red109
96742.2
641923.8
495924.4
Blue169
504128.4
16758.1
392849.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7412150100150200109169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+50
Endgame+58
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave0
3Coral scored#9
16Coral points47
16Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#17
45Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
77Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#6
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points2
109Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#20
42.22.3
38.740.9
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End10.2
blue by 15.9
167
#2
58.13.8
45.549.3
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
Second
4959
#30
24.41.9
19.521.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End3.4
blue by 25.0
3928
#11
49.43.8
37.140.9
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
Third
6419
#45
23.82.1
14.816.9
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.0
blue by 4.7
5041
#17
28.45.7
24.129.9
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned