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Red104
453931.1
639139.9
462444.1
Blue62
583733.1
954321.1
372320.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11660020408010014016010462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
84Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
104Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#18
44.10.3
36.536.2
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
red by 11.0
5837
#21
33.10.8
22.721.9
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.4
Second
39.90.3
34.133.8
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
red by 18.8
9543
#16
21.10.8
17.016.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Third
4539
#34
31.10.3
27.827.4
Auto3.8
Teleop23.3
End4.1
red by 10.9
3723
#46
20.30.8
18.317.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed