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Red74
944520.5
17122.3
957922.6
Blue71
453931.1
583733.1
882413.2
16%Model gave it84%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5585020401001201407471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
56Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
8Foul points2
74Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9579
#43
22.61.7
18.119.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.1
blue by 10.5
5837
#21
33.10.2
21.921.7
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.4
Second
171
#31
22.31.2
10.111.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 8.8
4539
#34
31.10.2
27.427.3
Auto3.8
Teleop23.3
End4.1
Third
9445
#28
20.51.0
20.221.2
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 7.3
8824
#49
13.20.2
18.718.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed