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Red136
16758.1
909249.7
950820.4
Blue94
784839.7
372320.3
591431.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142845010020013694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+38Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave9
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points3
39Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
81Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
136Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
58.10.8
49.350.1
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
red by 18.4
7848
#23
39.70.7
32.132.8
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
Second
49.71.0
44.145.1
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
red by 18.2
5914
#48
31.50.8
29.330.1
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Third
9508
#35
20.41.4
24.425.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.7
red by 0.2
3723
#46
20.31.1
17.518.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed