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Red152
642027.6
392849.4
462444.1
Blue141
313429.7
52547.1
957015.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108550100150200152141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
19Coral scored#25
70Coral points91
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
102Total teleop109
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#7
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
18Foul points12
152Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
49.40.9
40.941.8
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
red by 2.3
525
#7
47.12.4
37.539.9
Auto8.4
Teleop35.2
End3.6
Second
4624
#18
44.11.1
36.237.3
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
red by 14.3
3134
#47
29.72.4
31.033.4
Auto4.5
Teleop23.7
End1.6
Third
6420
#10
27.61.1
23.124.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6
red by 12.5
9570
#32
15.22.0
12.014.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed