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Red91
64827.1
950820.4
955132.0
Blue133
453931.1
313429.7
96742.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931255015020091133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+44
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
11Coral scored#19
39Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
61Total teleop92
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#7
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
8Foul points6
91Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9551
#29
32.00.7
25.625.0
Auto6.3
Teleop23.6
End2.1
blue by 10.2
967
#20
42.20.6
41.842.5
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End10.2
Second
648
#25
27.10.7
28.527.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End6.5
blue by 4.0
4539
#34
31.10.8
27.328.0
Auto3.8
Teleop23.3
End4.1
Third
9508
#35
20.41.1
25.824.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.7
blue by 9.3
3134
#47
29.70.7
33.434.1
Auto4.5
Teleop23.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned