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Red156
495924.4
52547.1
639139.9
Blue101
327524.9
426013.3
957647.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11094406080100120140160156101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+43Teleop
+51Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
24Coral scored#15
85Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
115Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#7
10L3#3
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
4Foul points0
156Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#7
47.13.0
39.942.9
Auto8.4
Teleop35.2
End3.6
blue by 0.3
47.40.2
37.137.3
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
Second
39.92.7
35.638.2
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
red by 15.0
3275
#42
24.90.2
26.726.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
Third
4959
#30
24.42.7
22.725.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End3.4
red by 11.1
4260
#51
13.30.3
20.220.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed