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Red114
402121.1
504128.4
283937.0
Blue69
882413.2
906123.6
957922.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94722040608012014016011469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +38
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points43
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
24Processor points6
12Net points4
36Algae points10
91Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
114Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#14
37.01.9
27.329.2
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 13.4
9061
#33
23.60.2
21.721.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Second
5041
#17
28.43.1
30.633.7
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End5.8
red by 5.8
9579
#43
22.60.2
19.719.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Third
4021
#44
21.12.1
16.118.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.2
red by 7.9
8824
#49
13.20.2
18.418.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed