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Red154
642027.6
908234.0
16758.1
Blue153
753128.1
462444.1
909249.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211350100150200154153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points26
34Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +1
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points55
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
18Processor points18
12Net points32
30Algae points50
104Total teleop105
Reef
6L4#8
11L3#4
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
154Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
58.12.3
50.152.4
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
red by 8.4
49.73.0
45.148.1
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
Second
9082
#13
34.02.3
34.436.7
Auto5.2
Teleop26.3
End2.5
blue by 10.1
4624
#18
44.13.0
37.340.3
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
Third
6420
#10
27.62.5
24.226.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6
blue by 0.5
7531
#36
28.14.5
19.223.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned