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Red101
954321.1
957015.2
392849.4
Blue45
1043917.3
1047618.1
527522.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9082020030040010145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
8Coral scored#3
27Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
39Total teleop9
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
32Foul points20
101Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
49.40.5
44.243.7
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
red by 27.3
5275
#37
22.15.4
24.519.1
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Second
9543
#16
21.10.9
18.817.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.0
End1.7
red by 3.0
18.15.4
22.116.7
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End-0.1
Third
9570
#32
15.20.5
14.013.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 2.2
17.35.4
27.121.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned