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Red121
950820.4
754143.5
178533.9
Blue82
882413.2
1043917.3
642027.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967302040608012014016012182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
74Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
24Foul points6
121Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.7
31.432.2
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End8.2
red by 15.8
6420
#10
27.60.1
26.826.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6
Second
1785
#24
33.90.4
25.225.6
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
red by 16.6
17.30.2
21.721.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Third
9508
#35
20.40.7
24.725.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.7
red by 7.2
8824
#49
13.20.2
18.318.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned