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Red92
882127.4
464657.5
877018.3
Blue56
87669.6
16758.1
495924.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510660801001201409256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+32Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +19
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
53Total teleop34
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
92Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.50.6
48.748.1
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
blue by 0.7
167
#2
58.13.2
52.449.1
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
Second
8821
#26
27.40.6
27.927.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.1
End1.4
red by 3.0
4959
#30
24.43.2
25.422.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End3.4
Third
8770
#38
18.31.0
18.617.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End-0.4
red by 8.7
8766
#40
9.65.4
21.115.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsMissed