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Red102
544239.3
954321.1
908234.0
Blue90
485924.4
162551.0
957015.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95966070809010011012013014010290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points39
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
76Total teleop51
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
102Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#15
39.30.5
31.131.6
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
blue by 11.7
1625
#12
51.00.1
36.536.6
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
Second
9082
#13
34.00.5
36.737.2
Auto5.2
Teleop26.3
End2.5
red by 9.5
4859
#39
24.40.1
30.931.0
Auto4.0
Teleop18.4
End2.0
Third
9543
#16
21.10.9
17.918.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.0
End1.7
red by 5.9
9570
#32
15.20.1
13.413.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned