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Red136
495924.4
402121.1
909249.7
Blue182
170683.4
178533.9
453931.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10714950200136182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+38
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
15Coral points28
21Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +25
14Coral scored#22
49Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#8
18Processor points12
32Net points32
50Algae points44
99Total teleop124
Reef
5L4#14
5L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
136Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.5
49.851.2
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
blue by 33.7
83.42.6
68.370.9
Auto21.7
Teleop51.3
End10.4
Second
4959
#30
24.41.5
22.223.6
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End3.4
blue by 9.5
1785
#24
33.92.6
25.628.3
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
Third
4021
#44
21.11.5
18.720.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.2
blue by 10.1
4539
#34
31.12.6
26.929.5
Auto3.8
Teleop23.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned