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Red83
645511.1
462444.1
1043917.3
Blue114
544239.3
882127.4
64827.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210005015083114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
58Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points18
83Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#18
44.10.4
41.241.5
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
red by 4.8
5442
#15
39.30.5
31.632.2
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
Second
17.30.6
21.822.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
blue by 10.1
8821
#26
27.40.5
27.327.8
Auto4.0
Teleop22.1
End1.4
Third
6455
#50
11.10.6
14.715.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 16.0
648
#25
27.10.5
28.929.5
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed