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Red129
957015.2
464657.5
639139.9
Blue82
162551.0
504128.4
882413.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169740608014016018012982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
19Coral scored#9
67Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
77Total teleop50
Reef
12L4#2
3L3#4
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
20Foul points0
129Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.50.6
48.148.8
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
red by 6.4
1625
#12
51.00.5
36.636.1
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
Second
39.90.6
38.238.8
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
red by 11.4
5041
#17
28.40.5
31.330.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End5.8
Third
9570
#32
15.20.6
13.514.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.8
red by 2.0
8824
#49
13.20.5
18.518.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned