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Red104
52547.1
372320.3
16758.1
Blue79
908234.0
955132.0
485924.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510540608014016018020010479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
63Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points6
104Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
58.10.4
49.148.7
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
red by 24.2
9082
#13
34.01.5
37.235.7
Auto5.2
Teleop26.3
End2.5
Second
525
#7
47.10.4
44.343.9
Auto8.4
Teleop35.2
End3.6
red by 15.2
9551
#29
32.01.5
26.725.2
Auto6.3
Teleop23.6
End2.1
Third
3723
#46
20.30.7
17.016.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 4.2
4859
#39
24.42.4
31.028.6
Auto4.0
Teleop18.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed