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Red105
950820.4
642027.6
877018.3
Blue109
802424.2
944520.5
784839.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80954060120140160105109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
0Teleop0
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points15
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +2
15Coral scored#17
54Coral points60
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
80Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#8
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
105Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#10
27.61.4
26.928.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6
blue by 12.1
7848
#23
39.71.0
36.137.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
Second
9508
#35
20.42.3
25.427.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.7
blue by 3.8
8024
#19
24.21.0
24.225.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.9
Third
8770
#38
18.32.3
17.619.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End-0.4
blue by 2.2
9445
#28
20.51.0
22.323.3
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned