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Red67
426013.3
591431.5
754143.5
Blue89
753128.1
283937.0
313429.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100108801201401606789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
12Coral scored#18
44Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
54Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
67Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.52.7
32.229.4
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End8.2
red by 6.4
2839
#14
37.00.5
32.031.6
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Second
5914
#48
31.51.6
28.526.9
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
red by 1.8
3134
#47
29.70.5
32.732.2
Auto4.5
Teleop23.7
End1.6
Third
4260
#51
13.32.7
21.919.2
Auto1.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 14.9
7531
#36
28.10.8
23.622.8
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed