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Red90
957922.6
96742.2
327524.9
Blue103
527522.1
17122.3
641923.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10658020408012014016090103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
+5Endgame
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
65Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points18
90Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#20
42.20.1
43.643.4
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End10.2
red by 18.5
6419
#45
23.81.2
21.522.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Second
3275
#42
24.90.1
25.925.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
red by 2.6
171
#31
22.31.2
16.818.0
Auto5.6
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Third
9579
#43
22.60.2
19.519.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.1
red by 0.5
5275
#37
22.12.1
19.121.1
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed