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Red102
802424.2
591431.5
52547.1
Blue82
641923.8
908234.0
372320.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1117820406010012014016018010282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+6
+8Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points53
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
62Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
12Foul points0
102Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#7
47.11.7
43.942.1
Auto8.4
Teleop35.2
End3.6
red by 13.2
9082
#13
34.00.7
35.735.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.3
End2.5
Second
5914
#48
31.51.7
26.925.1
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
red by 7.7
6419
#45
23.80.7
22.722.0
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Third
8024
#19
24.21.7
25.223.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.9
red by 4.0
3723
#46
20.31.2
16.315.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed