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Red111
957647.4
882413.2
96742.2
Blue129
642027.6
327524.9
162551.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121102406080140160180200111129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
62Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
111Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.5
42.643.0
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
blue by 3.6
1625
#12
51.04.3
36.140.4
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
Second
967
#20
42.20.5
43.443.9
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End10.2
red by 14.6
6420
#10
27.62.6
28.330.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6
Third
8824
#49
13.20.8
18.018.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 11.7
3275
#42
24.92.6
25.728.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned