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Red193
639139.9
909249.7
170683.4
Blue77
1047618.1
882127.4
283937.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1967505010015025019377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+82Teleop
+114Endgame
+116Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
6Leave3
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points6
50Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
105Total teleop64
Reef
11L4#5
8L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#17
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +116
2Foul points0
193Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.42.0
70.972.9
Auto21.7
Teleop51.3
End10.4
red by 46.3
2839
#14
37.00.0
31.631.6
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Second
49.72.0
51.253.2
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
red by 22.3
8821
#26
27.40.0
27.827.9
Auto4.0
Teleop22.1
End1.4
Third
39.92.0
38.840.8
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
red by 21.7
18.10.0
17.217.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed