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Red154
16758.1
544239.3
178533.9
Blue121
527522.1
331353.1
313429.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126101406080140160180200154121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +28
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
120Total teleop92
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
154Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
58.12.6
48.751.4
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
red by 5.0
53.11.5
38.940.5
Auto13.7
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Second
5442
#15
39.32.6
32.234.8
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
red by 9.6
3134
#47
29.71.5
32.233.7
Auto4.5
Teleop23.7
End1.6
Third
1785
#24
33.92.6
28.330.9
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
red by 11.8
5275
#37
22.12.5
21.123.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed