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Red156
464657.5
906123.6
784839.7
Blue79
64827.1
453931.1
957015.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12676406010014016018020015679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+55Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
99Total teleop65
Reef
14L4#5
7L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
156Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.51.6
48.850.3
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
red by 26.3
4539
#34
31.11.2
29.528.4
Auto3.8
Teleop23.3
End4.1
Second
7848
#23
39.71.6
37.038.6
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
red by 12.6
648
#25
27.11.2
29.528.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Third
9061
#33
23.62.6
24.927.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 8.5
9570
#32
15.21.2
14.113.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed