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Red98
392849.4
485924.4
87669.6
Blue75
402121.1
17122.3
645511.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11064501001509875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+27Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
68Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points6
98Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
49.40.5
43.943.5
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
red by 27.1
171
#31
22.30.0
18.018.1
Auto5.6
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Second
4859
#39
24.40.8
28.627.8
Auto4.0
Teleop18.4
End2.0
red by 3.3
4021
#44
21.10.0
20.220.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.2
Third
8766
#40
9.60.8
13.312.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 1.5
6455
#50
11.10.1
15.315.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed